Obama Wins! Obama Wins!

I'm writing this post on Sunday, November 2, at 1:06 in the afternoon. I don't believe in jinxes,

I'm THAT sure that THE BEST PERSON for the job of POTUS is going to win on Tuesday, Election Day.

So I'm announcing



A GOOD MAN IS HARD TO FIND

YOU ALWAYS GET THE OTHER KIND...

BUT NOT THIS TIME!



OBAMA WINS! OBAMA WINS!

He's won alright
He deserves the moment
for every dark face and white one too
who's hoped and prayed for an end
to the slaughter,
an end to the worry,
an end to easy lies.

He's won alright
because we believe him,
we trust him,
we know him in our hearts.

Check out Dianne at Forks Off the Moment who's blogging live as we "speak."

theteach

Does America Want McCain?

Via Huffington Post:

Is America Ready for Another White Male President?

Lincoln Mitchell: During the recently completed primary season, roughly 35 million people voted for somebody who was not a white man. Clinton and Obama's overall vote total far exceeded that of all the white men in the race, for both parties, combined. In the Democratic Party, none of the three highly qualified white men, made it as far as Super Tuesday. Even in the early states when the Republican primary was still competitive and Republican voters could choose from a broad range of conservative white men, the majority of voters eschewed the white male options in both parties and voted for either Clinton or Obama. Click here to read more.

Nader announces he will run

I am absolutely livid that Ralph Nader has announced he will run for the presidency!

Via VOA:

"I have decided to run for president," said Nader.

Nader told NBC's Meet the Press that he is entering the race because neither one of the major political parties is acting in the best interest of the American people.

This is his third run for the presidency. In 2000, Nader - as the candidate of the Green Party - won just less than three percent of the national vote. Many Democrats still blame him for Al Gore's loss that year, saying he siphoned off just enough liberal votes to cost Gore a very close election.

Nader said he will not be deterred.

---

I can't believe that Nader, in the face of knowing what his candidacy can do to a Democratic Party candidate, has stepped in this way. He is a thoughtless, insensitive brute who just wants to upset the applecart. What is it? Does he hate liberals, does he hate Democrats?

What the hell does he think his candidacy will accomplish? He is a spoiler, that's all he is. I can only hope that James Fallows in Atlantic.com is right:

That he stayed in the race in 2000 was tragedy. (See: Invasion of Iraq, 2003, and subsequent occupation.) That he came back in 2004 was unfortunate; his entry in 2008 is farce. Farce because it suggests detachment from political reality (the differences between the Republican and Democratic nominees are so faint that we can say, What the hell!) and, worse, narcissism. The fact that it won't make any difference in the outcome actually is sad.

---

I can only hope it won't effect the outcome. But how do we know that? Let's look closely now. Who are the rich Republicans that have reached down into deep pockets and handed over oodles of cash to have him come into the race?

Let me quote the Atlantic Monthly who named Nader # 96 of the Top 100 most influential figures in American History:

"He made the cars we drive safer; thirty years later, he made George W. Bush the president."

On September 15, 2007 Nader spoke at the anti-Iraq war protest in Washington D.C. where he chastised "spineless, gutless" Democrats in Congress for failing to boot [impeach] Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney from office. So what is he doing?

Is he going to put John McCain in office, a man who says the Iraq War will continue for a hundred years, just to show those Democrats how "spineless" and "gutless" they really are? It's just the dumbest move Nader has made to date. I'm spittin' mad!!

My nephew has been bugging me to watch the Ralph Nader documentary "An Unreasonable Man." So I went to the web site for the film and here's a quote from that site that hit me right in the eye:

"The reasonable man adapts himself to the world; the unreasonable one persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore all progress depends on the unreasonable man."
-George Bernard Shaw, Man and Superman (1903)
"Maxims for Revolutionists"

So you know what I think? Ralph Nader IS an unreasonable man and, although I haven't seen the documentary, I think the unreasonable man who tries to adapt the world to himself is a narcissist and a madman.

theteach

Obama, pragmatic liberal

Quoting Andrew Sullivan:

"I also just think that Obama is a pragmatic liberal. His judgments in the past have been largely practical and reasonable. He is not an ideologue. Nor is he an excessive partisan. Those qualities are admirable from a conservative point of view."

Thursday Thirteen

Thirteen Reasons why John McCain is the most dangerous Republican to run in 2008 election:

1. Because he COULD win!

2. He is the least objectionable Republican candidate.

3. He's NOT a fundamentalist.

4. While the American public is not happy with the Republican administration we have now, they MIGHT vote for McCain because they believe he has integrity.

5. NO Democrat would be a shoe-in with McCain as challenger.

6. He is respected as a man who served his country and suffered at the hands of the enemy as a POW.

7. He believes in tax cuts.

8. He has been elected 4 times to the U.S. Sentate. He's experience personified.

9. While generally adhering to American conservatism, McCain has established a reputation as a political maverick for his willingness to defy Republican orthodoxy on several issues.

10. In the 2000 elections he ALMOST beat George W. Bush for the presidency.

11. He won the New Hampshire primary, a very impressive COMEBACK.

12. He's perceived as a straight-talker.

13. No matter what his politics, he's LIKEABLE. Obama might have a chance against him but not Hillary!

theteach


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Obama takes Iowa

Senator Barack Obama of Illinois, a first-term Democratic senator trying to become the nation’s first African-American president, rolled to victory in the Iowa caucuses on Thursday night, lifted by a record turnout of voters who embraced his promise of change.

Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas, defeated Mitt Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, delivering a serious setback to Mr. Romney’s high-spending campaign and putting pressure on Mr. Romney to win in New Hampshire next Tuesday.

Via New York Times

theteach

Thursday Thirteen

This post is informative and maybe too serious...For a few laughs see my other blog: Answers to the Questions

Thirteen things you might want to know about the Iowa Caucuses

1. Thursday's night's caucuses in Iowa combine high-stakes politics and old-style community meetings.

2. The results will shape the GOP and Democratic campaigns and spark some candidates to drop out from the 2008 White House race.

3.The caucuses are such a big deal in Iowa that a musical was written about them. The play centers on Iowa farmer Eldon Wise and his family, who the media has dubbed 'the typical Iowa caucus-goers.' Like other Iowans, they're bombarded with phone calls, e-mails, negative ads and personal visits -- all of which stir up debate and sometimes rifts between relatives.

4. Republican candidates on the ballot are: Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson. Democrats: Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Christopher Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama, Bill Richardson.

5. In each of Iowa's nearly 2,000 voting precincts, Democrats and Republicans hold separate meetings on caucus night. Anybody registered member of a party can attend that party's meeting.

6. Republicans vote in the caucuses by secret ballots. The vote determines which delegates, representing which candidates, will attend county conventions. There, delegates are chosen for state congressional district conventions, where delegate to national convention are picked.

GOT IT SO FAR?

7. The Republicans use a winner-take-all system. Whichever candidate wins the caucuses takes all of the delegates for the state.

8. The Democratic meeting divides into groups, each supporting a particular candidate. If a candidate doesn't have a sufficient percentage of the total number of voters attending, its members join other candidates' groups. When that redistribution finally ends with groups of sufficient size, the delegates are divided among them according to the percentage of the meetings' attendees they represent. The process then proceeds through the county and state conventions. At the national convention, the candidates receive delegates proportionately, rather than the winner taking all of the state's delegates.

HUH?

9. The turnout predicted is: 120,000-150,000 Democrats; 80,000-90,000 Republicans

10. The weather outlook for Thursday is mostly sunny, with a high of 29 degrees, a low of 22.

11. Unlike a caucus, a primary is carried out in a virtually identical manner to a general election contest, with participants going to polling place or, depending on state election procedures, voting at home for their preferred candidates. A primary election attracts a broader swath of the electorate, in part because it requires a shorter time commitment. A caucus takes longer to conduct and tends to attract dedicated party activists.

12. Caucuses are held in a wide variety of locations such as schools, churches, community centers, public libraries and even private homes.

13. Historical caucus results have spawned a conventional wisdom that there are "three tickets out of Iowa." In every contested Iowa caucus since 1972, only once has a presidential candidate finished worse than third and gone on to become his party's presidential candidates.

14. BONUS: The "Iowa Bounce" is the momentum gained by a candidate who exceeds expectations in Iowa.

Sources: AJC staff, Des Moines Register, Congressional Quarterly

theteach

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I DO NOT APOLOGIZE FOR THE PARTISAN NATURE OF THIS POST. :)

Hillary's (and Obama's) Running Mate

So c'mon what do you think? Who do you think would be the best running mate for Hillary? And because I'm certainly not ready to rule out other candidates, i.e. Barack Obama, who could be Obama's running mate for 2008?

Stanley Fish over at the NYTimes believes Hillary's got the primary won, so he sets forth some rules for Hillary's choice of running mate (Mind you, I don't necessarily agree with his points):

First of all, her running mate can’t be a woman. But, on the other hand, he does have to be white, or at least kind of white. The pundits keep wondering whether the country is ready for a woman president or a black president; it sure isn’t ready for a woman and a black on the same ticket. Nor is it ready for a woman and a Jew, which rules out Gov. Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania. On the age question, there is more flexibility. She is neither young nor old, so her running mate could be either as long as the age difference wasn’t egregious.

He also says her running mate probably shouldn't be a senator. And she should pick someone from a place other than the Northeast. So what she needs is a governor or former governor who can tip the balance in a fairly large state that could go either way, ideally someone from Ohio or Florida.

Fish goes on and on for a while offering suggestions but finally ends up with

"So there’s the list – (Mark)Warner, Bayh, Easley, Richardson, maybe Doyle. No one who sets the pulses racing, but no one, at least on the evidence so far, who would be a total mistake. The mistake would be if Senator Clinton decided to get creative and adventurous, but on the record there seems to be little danger of that.

Over at The Opinionator, Tobin Harshaw argues that Clinton may indeed choose an African-American as a running mate: Barack Obama.

Selecting Obama would help ensure strong turnout among this core Democratic constituency — which will help Democratic candidates all the way down the line. But second, if Hillary is the nominee, African American leaders are likely to be excited about the prospect that she will choose Obama. Since Hillary may be seen as the odds-on favorite, people will be eager to see her select the nation’s first black Vice
President.

Harshaw says, though, if Hillary wins the nomination "there's likely to be great disappointment among these Obama fans — perhaps enough to sour them to her candidacy. If she clinches the nomination, she may want to either accept or rule out Obama quickly, to avoid there being any hurt feelings.”

theteach

Maybe Hillary?

This is for Noreen and Norma:



theteach

McCain won't discuss it anymore...

July 18, 2007

McCain snaps: ‘Finished’ discussing campaign

A frustrated McCain said Wednesday he was done discussing his campaign woes. WASHINGTON (CNN) — A frustrated Sen. John McCain snapped Wednesday when asked by CNN about his troubled presidential campaign and vowed he would no longer answer questions on that topic. “I’m not going to talk about my campaign anymore,” McCain said in a sharp tone. “I’m finished with talking about it. I’ve talked about it for two weeks. I will not discuss it or any aspect of it. Thank you.”


via CNN
______________________________________

I think it's over for McCain. Something has gone wrong for him and I don't know what it is. Something's been wrong for months now. Psychological problems, maybe... Effects from his time spent as a POW during the Vietnam War, maybe... I do feel for the guy. He's a great, brave soldier, but he wouldn't make a good president. We can't stomach another hawk.

theteach

Giuliani quits Iraq Study Group

From Slate:

The Man Who Knows Too Little

What Rudy Giuliani's greedy decision to quit the Iraq Study Group reveals about his candidacy.

By Fred Kaplan
Posted Thursday, June 21, 2007, at 6:44 PM ET

If you don't read Newsday, you might not know (I didn't until this week) that Rudy Giuliani was an original member of the Iraq Study Group—the blue-ribbon commission co-chaired by James Baker and Lee Hamilton—but he was forced out after failing to show up for any of the panel's meetings.

The day after the Newsday story appeared, Giuliani explained that he'd started thinking about running for president, and his presence on the panel might give it a political spin. "It didn't seem that I'd really be able to keep the thing focused on a bipartisan, nonpolitical resolution," he said.

The more likely reason for Giuliani's no-shows is much plainer—money. Craig Gordon, the Newsday reporter who wrote the story in the Long Island paper's June 19 edition, discovered that on the three days of meetings that Giuliani missed (before quitting), he was out of town, delivering highly lucrative speeches.

On April 12, 2006, he was giving a keynote address at an economics conference in South Korea for a fee of $200,000. On May 18, he was giving a speech on leadership in Atlanta for $100,000.

At that point, Baker gave Giuliani an ultimatum: Start showing up for sessions, or quit. On May 24, he quit, noting in a letter (provided to Gordon) that prior commitments prevented him from giving the panel his "full and active participation."

Read rest of Slate story here.

theteach

Even Democrats Can Get things a Little Wrong...

From Factcheck.org:

Dems Debating, the Sequel

June 4, 2007

No whoppers, but hype springs eternal.

Summary

Amid barbs on Iraq, there were exaggerations on energy, insurance and other issues in the second debate of candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination. Among those we found:

• Sen. Joseph Biden of Delaware wrongly cast Iran as a nation running out of oil.
• Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina talked about gas price manipulation by Big Oil where investigators have found none.
• Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich and Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd used old figures that are almost 2 million too high when stating the number of uninsured.
• New York Sen. Hillary Clinton lumped all the Republican Presidential candidates together when it came to their support for the war. That's not quite right.

See what the GOP candidates got wrong here.

theteach

Please Fred don't leave Law and Order...

Chris Kelly on Fred Thompson:

Obviously I'm missing something when it comes to the awesome charisma of Fred Thompson. Some of it is personal; I already have a father, so I didn't need Ronald Reagan. Some of it is professional; I once worked on a talk show that booked too many third-rate guests, and I had to write their padded introductions, so every time I hear Thompson described as "the star" of The Hunt for Red October, my joints cinch.


Here's Jonah Goldberg on Fred:

Here are just a few little-known facts about Fred Thompson:

- Every night before going to sleep, Osama bin Laden checks under his bed for Fred Thompson.

- Though Fred Thompson left the Senate in 2003, Harry Reid still hasn't stopped wetting his pants.

- Fred Thompson once ended a filibuster by ripping out a Senator's heart and showing it to him before he died.

- Only two things can kill Superman: Kryptonite and Fred Thompson.

- Fred Thompson once stood on our south border and glared at Mexico. There was no illegal immigration for a month.

- Fred Thompson vows not only to win in Iraq but also to forcefully free Vietnam from Communism, thus giving America a perfect win/loss record for wars again.

- Fred Thompson can open clamshell packaging without the slightest trouble.

These are just a few of the "Fred Thompson Facts" posted on the conservative humor site IMAO in March.

Obama and blue-collar workers

It seems that the latimes.com thinks Barack Obama won't do well with blue-collar workers. And that doing well with blue collars, Hillary's stronghold, means the election in 2008.

Obama's early support is following a pattern familiar from the campaigns of other brainy liberals with cool, detached personas and messages of political reform, from Eugene McCarthy in 1968 to Gary Hart in 1984 to Bill Bradley in 2000. Like those predecessors, Obama is running strong with well-educated voters but demonstrating much less support among those without college degrees. (latimes.com)

So far at least, Hillary Clinton fits the mold of the winning candidate, the one whose “greatest strength is usually persistence, not eloquence; they don’t so much inspire as reassure,” Ronald Brownstein writes. “Think of Harry Truman in 1948, Hubert Humphrey in 1968 and, in a somewhat more diluted fashion, Walter Mondale in 1984 and John Kerry in 2004.”

There is “one twist” to this old story in the 2008 campaign, Brownstein concedes. “Obama’s African American heritage is helping him, already, to split the black vote fairly closely with Clinton in most surveys.” (Chris Suellentrop, The Opinionator, NYTimes)

theteach

Obama to quit?

According to the newsobserver.com, "how successful Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama is at quitting smoking could depend on why he does it in the first place."

The news source is absolutely right. He can't do it for anybody else (including the voters). He has to do it for himself. And he has to be very careful about stress becoming an excuse to go back to smoking.

It's said that Obama only smokes 4 or 5 cigarettes a day... don't think that makes it easier. It doesn't.

According to lifelong smoker Linda Jones, "All he has to do is put his mind to it." "It can be done," Jones said Monday afternoon on a smoke break from her job as an administrative assistant with the Wisconsin state Department of Public Instruction. "Once you make up your mind, just go cold turkey," said Jones, who has tried to quit twice.

Is she kidding? There she is still smoking and saying "just go cold turkey." And she's TRIED to quit TWICE. Hah!

I don't know if Obama should have brought smoking up at all but maybe he's being asked questions by reporters. I don't know.

If he's not successful quitting, he'll have to "sneak" cigarettes, putting himself in a worse situation vis-a-vis the voters and the press.

Here's some interesting info:

Dwight D. Eisenhower reportedly quit his four-pack-a-day habit before being elected in 1952. Lyndon Johnson likewise gave up smoking before becoming John F. Kennedy's vice presidential running mate prior to the 1960 election. Richard Nixon was smoke-free by the time he finally landed the White House in 1968. And though Ronald Reagan hawked Chesterfield Kings during his acting days in the 1940s, his vice-of-choice by the time he was elected in 1980 was jelly beans.

People may not have thought twice about FDR puffing away, but news of Obama lighting up -- well, you'd have thought he'd admitted to pedophilia. (In fact, according to research at Northwestern University, pedophilia, obesity and smoking are seen as three socially sanctioned reasons for ostracism.) (newsobserver.com)

Obama's not black

Chris Suellentrop's "The Opinionator" (New York Times) points to the fact that Barack Obama has a problem: He's not black.

In his column he tells us that Debra Dickerson, author of “The End of Blackness,” concurs with Stanley Crouch: “Obama isn’t black,” she writes in Salon. She continues:

“Black,” in our political and social reality, means those descended from West African slaves. Voluntary immigrants of African descent (even those descended from West Indian slaves) are just that, voluntary immigrants of African descent with markedly different outlooks on the role of race in their lives and in politics. At a minimum, it can’t be assumed that a Nigerian cabdriver and a third-generation Harlemite have more in common than the fact a cop won’t bother to make the distinction. They’re both “black” as a matter of skin color and DNA, but only the Harlemite, for better or worse, is politically and culturally black, as we use the term.

It seems Obama hasn't suffered enough, hasn't borne the burden of being black in order to be called "black." Since he's not descended from African slaves, he can't know what African Americans have gone through.

“[H]e’s not a ‘native’ African American who can trace his roots through slavery, the South, emancipation, Jim Crow, civil rights, etc. He’s an African African American. His family journey from Kenya to Harvard was recent and shortcutted a lot of American black culture and politics.”

When Alan Keyes ran against Obama in 2004, Keyes was unable to make the distinction between himself and Obama:

That race was never much of a contest, but one fascinating subplot was how Keyes was unable to draw a meaningful distinction between himself as a black American and Obama as an African-American. After all, Obama's mother is of white U.S. stock. His father is a black Kenyan. Other than color, Obama did not - does not - share a heritage with the majority of black Americans, who are descendants of plantation slaves. (Stanley Crouch)

Should all this make any difference? Right now Hillary seems to be ahead of Obama among black voters:

Black Democrats prefer Clinton 3 to 1 over Obama, and four out of five of black Democrats view her favorably, much higher than the 54 percent who have a favorable view of Obama, according to combined findings from two Washington Post-ABC polls taken in December and January. Clinton also enjoys close ties to top black elected officials, and her husband, former President Clinton, remains extremely popular among African-Americans. (Mercury News)

theteach :)

Obama makes bid for 2008

So Barack Obama has begun the process. The first black man to take steps toward running for president of the United States.

Actually Obama filed paperwork for a presidential exploratory committee. He first announced the decision on his Web site, barackobama.com.

Obama said on his Web site that he will spend a few weeks "exploring" with his committee, then announce his decision on running for president on Feb. 10 in Illinois.

Check here for how he voted on key votes.

_________________________________________________________________
So his chances? Take a look at my post for 10/23/06 on this blog. Lots of people would like to see a black president, but not just any black president. Obama seems to be the one.

theteach

Biden will seek the presidency

From MSNBC:

Sen. Biden announces intent to seek presidency
Democrat from Delaware tells ‘Meet the Press’ he’ll file paperwork in Jan.

Richard Drew / AP

Sen. Joe Biden (D-Del.) on Sunday told NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he will seek the Democratic presidential nomination in 2008. “I am running for president,” he told “Meet the Press” anchor Tim Russert. “I’m going to be Joe Biden, and I’m going to be the best Joe Biden I can be.”

...

Biden, who is the new chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, is considered one of the Democrats’ most experience spokesmen on international affairs.

...

Biden has been one of the most outspoken critics of President Bush’s policy in Iraq, saying Thursday that he believed top officials in the Bush administration had privately concluded they had lost Iraq and were simply trying to postpone disaster.

...

“I have reached the tentative conclusion that a significant portion of this administration, maybe even including the vice president, believes Iraq is lost,” Biden told The Washington Post. “They have no answer to deal with how badly they have screwed it up. I am not being facetious now. Therefore, the best thing to do is keep it from totally collapsing on your watch and hand it off to the next guy — literally not figuratively.”

...

Biden expressed opposition to Bush’s plan for a “surge” of troops, and said he had grave doubts that the current Iraqi government had the will or capacity to help implement a new approach.

Read the entire article here.

I don't know what Joe Biden's chances are, but I'm in agreement with him about Bush's "surge." If he can lead a coalition of Democrats to confront Bush and his current strategy, it would go a long way (for me) to considering him for president in 2008.

theteach

Clinton and Obama: Who in 2008?

Take a look at a couple of articles, both by Tom Curry, on Hillary and Barack and their plans to run in 2008. I found them through Andrew Sullivan's blog.

"Will Obama force Clinton's early entry?" MSNBC, Nov. 30, 2006.

"Clinton versus Obama: Is there any difference?" MSNBC, Nov.29, 2006. There is a poll you can take to see how you compare to Clinton's and Obama's stances on issues.

The following article has an interesting take:

"2008: Obama or Clinton? Black Man versus White Woman" by Jo Swift, Nov. 14, 2006 (Radical Left) It asks the question is American too racist for Barack? Too sexist for Hillary?

From the Free Republic back in 2005 there's this:

"Hillary makes eyes at a perfect mate (Clinton/Obama 2008?)" by Toni Allen-Mills, Oct. 2, 2005 London Times.

And there's this:

"Democratic Presidential Primaries: Clinton 29% Obama 22%" Rasmussen Reports, Nov. 8, 2006.

Well, your guess is as good as mine.

theteach :)

Hillary for President 2008?

The Atlantic has a big sweeping profile of Hillary Clinton this week which posits her successful Senate career (she'll definitely be re-elected tomorrow) may hurt her presidential prospects in 2008.

It suggests that Clinton (as senator) has played a cautious game since her health care initiative died in 1993, taking "small steps" without much political risk. It goes on to say it is unlikely that she'll be able to defeat a popular Republican like John McCain. (from Slate magazine)

You know it bothers me that whenever anyone considers Hillary Clinton's presidential possibilities he/she always, always brings up her failed health-care bill. Why do they do that? That's not all she stands for.

It's not that I'm sure I would vote for Hillary in a Democratic primary but she IS more than just that bill.

And she may be just the Democrat to put up against John McCain because she's what they call a national security Democrat. "She is better at framing national-security issues for the current era than her husband was at a common point in his career.” (New York magazine)

Don't get me wrong she's definitely a Democrat: she's anti-abortion, she's against a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage, and recently she took a lead role in crafting a Senate amendment that prods the White House to bring some troops home this year.

Here's a link called "Hillary Clinton on Civil Rights"

Can she beat Barack Obama or John Edwards? That's still a big question. But Hillary has changed or at least the perception of her has changed since she's been in the Senate and she just might be the One in 2008. the teach

Photo: Jez Coulson